Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001097 0.001185 0.001278 0.001384 0.001504 0.001634 0.001788
2025-12-07 0.000958 0.001071 0.001199 0.001353 0.001536 0.001749 0.002018
2025-12-14 0.000874 0.001002 0.001150 0.001337 0.001569 0.001852 0.002230
2025-12-21 0.000802 0.000937 0.001097 0.001306 0.001573 0.001913 0.002386
2025-12-28 0.000722 0.000854 0.001014 0.001227 0.001508 0.001874 0.002402
2026-01-04 0.000666 0.000797 0.000959 0.001179 0.001474 0.001871 0.002462
2026-01-11 0.000631 0.000764 0.000931 0.001162 0.001480 0.001918 0.002595
2026-01-18 0.000605 0.000740 0.000913 0.001155 0.001498 0.001984 0.002759
2026-01-25 0.000660 0.000825 0.001042 0.001359 0.001829 0.002531 0.003742
2026-02-01 0.000619 0.000779 0.000992 0.001306 0.001779 0.002502 0.003778
2026-02-08 0.000586 0.000743 0.000953 0.001268 0.001749 0.002498 0.003858
2026-02-15 0.000566 0.000722 0.000935 0.001259 0.001762 0.002564 0.004068
2026-02-22 0.000543 0.000700 0.000917 0.001253 0.001787 0.002668 0.004391
2026-03-01 0.000515 0.000670 0.000886 0.001226 0.001779 0.002714 0.004617
2026-03-08 0.000494 0.000647 0.000865 0.001212 0.001790 0.002795 0.004926
2026-03-15 0.000470 0.000621 0.000836 0.001185 0.001775 0.002825 0.005134
2026-03-22 0.000437 0.000579 0.000784 0.001116 0.001684 0.002706 0.004993
2026-03-29 0.000414 0.000551 0.000749 0.001074 0.001635 0.002662 0.005018
2026-04-05 0.000399 0.000534 0.000731 0.001059 0.001633 0.002709 0.005261
2026-04-12 0.000387 0.000522 0.000720 0.001053 0.001648 0.002789 0.005603
2026-04-19 0.000419 0.000576 0.000814 0.001232 0.002021 0.003664 0.008304
2026-04-26 0.000399 0.000549 0.000779 0.001186 0.001959 0.003591 0.008300
2026-05-03 0.000382 0.000528 0.000753 0.001152 0.001920 0.003566 0.008443